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That swing looks like a swing that was not at full effort. I keep ignoring the exit velo and distance because I've heard some stuff about how the Arizona elevation can mess with them, but that was the nicest swing I've seen in a minute.

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I'm not sure how exit velocity can be impacted, but I suppose anything is possible. I didn't sniff a physics class while I was in school, for a good reason. Still...the swing was a thing of beauty.

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The higher the elevation, the further apart the air molecules, the easier it is for the ball to travel, the faster it goes.

FanGraphs had a thing a couple of years ago that showed little correlation between spring and regular season exit velos, maybe I'm reading too much into it, but I think my physics explanation tracks anyway.

https://blogs.fangraphs.com/analyzing-spring-trainings-exit-velocity-leaders/

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You lost me at air molecules. (But yes, this makes sense.)

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I took physics (completely lost, but multiple choice saved me) and statistics a long long time ago in a state far far away.

But pretty sure this article does suggest there is a positive correlation to exit velo in spring training and exit velo in regular season. It is just barely significant, but I think anything with an r value of .5 or above is considered statistically significant.

Basically if Cags jacks balls at 115mph in spring training, he will probably see comparably high exit velos in the regular season. The closer those dots are together along a line, the more significant the correlation, but .5 is still noteworthy.

As I said, it has been a long time, and I could be wrong - my brain hurts

edit: the sample size is really small so encouraging but not a lock

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