At what point do we have to consider that 2021 pitching stats are an anomaly and just throw the season of statistics away? The rule of thumb is you don't want a starting pitcher to throw but 20-40 innings more than they did the year before. We have to be nearing that number for most of our pitchers by this point in the season. The COVID short season was weird and hopefully we never have to deal with these circumstances again. I will be much more concerned if this trend continues in 2022.
I also believe the alternate sight was fantastic for the hitters in our organization. Maybe not so much for the pitchers.
There research the innings bump guidelines don't work to prevent injuries and are largely unnecessary. But Keller is about 22 innings past what he threw in 2020 and it's been a rough season for him from the jump. He was so good last year and that was after he missed the start with Covid. It's a mystery as to why he's fallen so far, so fast. I would be more inclined to give a starter a break when August and September roll around.
I heard some raves for both the pitchers and hitters from the alternate site. I would like to think both gained positive experience and coaching, but it's difficult to say.
I made a comment on Twitter yesterday obviously we would like Brad Keller to be the horse an opening day starter is supposed to be. Unfortunately that isn't happening. But the positive side of it is at least he is doing this b4 we gave a decent size contract ala Hunter Dozier and then taken this nosedive. I have zero confidence in the Royals pitching development as an organization and why would any diehard Royals fan like myself believe any different? Enjoyed the article Craig!
Thanks, Jimmy! Great point on avoiding the extension pitfall. I was lukewarm about that at the time, but I certainly didn't expect these kinds of sustained results.
The Royals absolutely have to figure out the pitching development riddle. With the bets they've placed on it, it's going to be a sad cycle of rebuilds if they can't get it right.
At what point do we have to consider that 2021 pitching stats are an anomaly and just throw the season of statistics away? The rule of thumb is you don't want a starting pitcher to throw but 20-40 innings more than they did the year before. We have to be nearing that number for most of our pitchers by this point in the season. The COVID short season was weird and hopefully we never have to deal with these circumstances again. I will be much more concerned if this trend continues in 2022.
I also believe the alternate sight was fantastic for the hitters in our organization. Maybe not so much for the pitchers.
What do you think?
There research the innings bump guidelines don't work to prevent injuries and are largely unnecessary. But Keller is about 22 innings past what he threw in 2020 and it's been a rough season for him from the jump. He was so good last year and that was after he missed the start with Covid. It's a mystery as to why he's fallen so far, so fast. I would be more inclined to give a starter a break when August and September roll around.
I heard some raves for both the pitchers and hitters from the alternate site. I would like to think both gained positive experience and coaching, but it's difficult to say.
I made a comment on Twitter yesterday obviously we would like Brad Keller to be the horse an opening day starter is supposed to be. Unfortunately that isn't happening. But the positive side of it is at least he is doing this b4 we gave a decent size contract ala Hunter Dozier and then taken this nosedive. I have zero confidence in the Royals pitching development as an organization and why would any diehard Royals fan like myself believe any different? Enjoyed the article Craig!
Thanks, Jimmy! Great point on avoiding the extension pitfall. I was lukewarm about that at the time, but I certainly didn't expect these kinds of sustained results.
The Royals absolutely have to figure out the pitching development riddle. With the bets they've placed on it, it's going to be a sad cycle of rebuilds if they can't get it right.