Mr. B, Thx for this dive. Do you think there will be any concentrated effort to get Salvie to be more disciplined? In other words, will they encourage him to "raid the zone" as a hitter and lay off the low, outside offerings? Or will they just let him rip?
Haha...I think one of the flaws of all projection systems is they have a difficult time with players with limited major league experience. Especially young players who blitzed through the minors. The Pasquantino 99th percentile projection is just absurdedly conservative. In my opinion.
Last year, Lyles had at least 3 more IP than runs allowed in 17 out of 32 starts. He didn't go 6 innings in all of them, but he was right at a 50% QS percentage last year, if you change the criteria a bit. In 11 of 32 starts, he had at least 5 more IP than runs allowed. I think if Lyles repeats last season, we will like him as a guy who keeps us in games and occasionally pitches a gem.
Mr. B, Thx for this dive. Do you think there will be any concentrated effort to get Salvie to be more disciplined? In other words, will they encourage him to "raid the zone" as a hitter and lay off the low, outside offerings? Or will they just let him rip?
Thanks, Terry. I think the ship has sailed on Salvy becoming more disciplined. He is who he is. I say, let him rip.
I'm with you on Witt. I mean, I have no issues with anything you stated in the article, but especially your take on BWJ's projections.
Haha...I think one of the flaws of all projection systems is they have a difficult time with players with limited major league experience. Especially young players who blitzed through the minors. The Pasquantino 99th percentile projection is just absurdedly conservative. In my opinion.
Last year, Lyles had at least 3 more IP than runs allowed in 17 out of 32 starts. He didn't go 6 innings in all of them, but he was right at a 50% QS percentage last year, if you change the criteria a bit. In 11 of 32 starts, he had at least 5 more IP than runs allowed. I think if Lyles repeats last season, we will like him as a guy who keeps us in games and occasionally pitches a gem.